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March-April2003  
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Forecast for rabi crops in Rajasthan bleak
Drought and famine is not yet over in Rajasthan due to the failure of monsoon during the last kharif season and production of rabi crops, is predicted to be just half as against last year’s production in the state. Once the leading producer of mustard in the country, Rajasthan will have only 12 lakh tonnes of it as against over 20 lakh tonnes of the commodity in the last rabi season.

Agri insurance company to start operations soon
The Government has appointed Suprass Bhandari, General Manager of Oriental Insurance Company, as the first Chairman of the Agriculture Insurance Company (AIC). This move may mean that the proposed company would soon start its operations in the country.
Nabard will have 30 per cent stake in the AIC while the GIC (General Insurance Corporation) will have a 35 per cent stake. The four subsidiaries of the GIC, namely Oriental Insurance, National Insurance Company, United India Insurance Corporation, The New India Assurance Company will each hold equity stake of 8.75 per cent. So far the GIC has been the implementing agency for National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) and the seed insurance scheme of the government.
But in recent decisions taken by the Government it has been decided that the AIC would administer and implement both the schemes and would also be free to undertake other insurance business on its own in the farm sector. The government has also decided that NAIS will be implemented in all states and Union territories of the country at the gram panchayat level within one year in lieu of the existing wider area approach. The NAIS will cover more perennial crops like apple, orange, mango and coconut. At present, NAIS covers all food crops (cereals, millets and pulses), oilseed, sugarcane, potato, cotton, onion, chillies, turmeric, ginger, jute, tapioca and banana.
It has also been decided that the premium rates for food and oilseed crops would be rationalised and 50 per cent of the actuarial premium rate or the existing flat rate whichever is higher will be charged. At present, the premium rates are 3.5 per cent for bajra and oilseed and 2.5 per cent for other kharif crops, 1.5 per cent for wheat and 2 per cent for other rabi crops.

Grain exports depending on the monsoons
The Centre recently announced that the country’s forays in the world grain market will be reconsidered if the monsoon fails for the second consecutive year as the country’s food security is of primary concern. According to the Union Agriculture Minister, Ajit Singh, the country has sufficient food stocks despite the 28 million tonnes fall in production in 2002-03 but in case the monsoon fails again this year, grain exports policy will be given a relook.
The Met department has forecast a below normal monsoon in 2003 with new models indicating 39 per cent probability of below normal rainfall and 21 per cent probability of drought.
On the other hand, the Food Ministry officials said that at present there are no plans to halt exports of wheat and rice and it will be too early to assess the likely monsoon trend and its agri impact.

Coca-Cola to source tea from Goodricke
Coca-Cola India has entered into a long-term agreement with Goodricke Group to source the entire range of tea for the newly launched Georgia tea and coffee. Apart from the domestic market Coca Cola retails premium quality tea and coffee under the ‘Georgia Gold’ brand in Southeast Asian markets including Thailand and Singapore. At the moment the company is test marketing its products in India’s bigger cities.
It will take another year to standardise quality and set up delivery before the company explores mass marketing opportunities for Georgia in India.
Egypt throws open doors for Indian Wheat
Egypt has opened its seven million tonnes worth wheat market to India. The technical authorities of India have cleared the Indian grain quality for imports. “This was one of the agenda items we agreed upon during discussions with Indian authorities and now our grain market is open to Indian produce,” said Egyptian Under-Secretary of State, El Said Fouad Kassem.
Proposals are also being examined to set up wheat silos and flourmills in Egypt in tandem with certain Indian companies. Egypt consumes 10 million tonnes of wheat annually, of which only 2-3 million tonnes is produced within the country leaving immense potential for exports by India.

EU, India get closer ahead of crucial WTO meet
The European Union (EU) and India have reduced their differences in the key area of agriculture ahead of an important World Trade Organization (WTO) meeting. According to Herve Jouanjean, Director of the Directorate General of Trade in the European Commission’s Brussels office, “EU and India have been able to identify areas of work where we can work to develop agriculture.”
The talks come ahead of the upcoming WTO meeting in the Mexican city of Cancun in September 2003 and in the wake of last month’s visit, to India, of  European Trade Commissioner, Pascal Lamy. This will definitely prove to be boon for exporters targeting EU countries.

Soya prices firm despite record crop in Argentina
The Southeast Asian soyabean trade is struggling to source cheaper Argentine soya as farmers are reluctant to sell their produce. Argentina, the world’s third-largest soyabean producing nation, will likely harvest a record crop of 34-35 MT compared with last year’s 30 MT, but farmers are holding on to the crop due to the weakening peso. As a result Southeast Asian importers said they might be forced to cover at the current high prices.
 The Argentine peso is down more than 65 per cent since the Government devalued the currency in January ‘02 at the height of the country’s worst-ever economic crisis. But, despite the difficulties, some traders were optimistic that Argentine soybean and soyameal prices would ease in another week to 10 days.
“There is a limit to which stocks can be held. Otherwise, they will have to struggle to sell at the end of their season but they may not find any takers, and at the same time, face competition from the US,” said a trader.

Urgent assistance needed for Iraq’s spring harvest
Farmers in Iraq are in urgent need of spare parts and fuel for combine harvesters and tractors for the upcoming spring harvest, said the Food and Agricultural organisation (FAO). “Every effort should be made to enable farmers to return to their fields and start harvesting wheat and barley at the beginning of May,” said Laurent Thomas, Chief, Special Emergency Programmes Service.
The outlook for this year’s spring crop, which is the main harvest, is uncertain, following the recent military conflict, Thomas said. Earlier estimates based on satellite images showing rainfall and vegetation; indicate a spring cereal production, mainly wheat and barley, of about 1.7 million tonnes. “This would cover nearly 30 percent of Iraq’s overall cereal requirements for the period July 2003-June 2004,” he added.

Spoils of War: Wheat, maize and pulses 
 US wheat has a bright future ahead after the Iraq war. The removal of sanctions against a post-Saddam Iraq will open the way for US companies to once again start exporting wheat and rice to the war torn desert country.
This would also ease some of the pressure on US wheat prices due to surplus supplies. Till just five years ago, Iraq was a significant buyer of US wheat, importing more than one million tonnes annually, worth $165 million at current prices.
That is not all. Other US farm products like maize, pulses, planting seeds, apart from foods like breakfast cereals, readymade mixes and poultry may also start sniffing out business opportunities.
 

Funds crucial for food security in Afghanistan
Outbreaks of animal diseases threaten food security and risk crippling the recovery of Afghanistan’s fragile rural sector, warned FAO as it appealed for funds for essential veterinary services. FAO is appealing for a total of $6.89 million over a period of five years to fund projects to help the Afghan government monitor and prevent outbreaks of diseases in cattle, sheep, goats and poultry and to support veterinary field clinics providing vaccinations and treatments.
 Private veterinarians need business loans to buy medicines and vaccines to sell to farmers and the Government needs training in order to deliver public services such as disease control and prevention, said FAO. The Government simply has no resources to dedicate to animal health, quality control and safety. It was a role that, up until now, had been played by FAO.
FAO has pledged further assistance to help the Afghan government to provide these much-needed public services and strengthen its abilities to prevent and deal with potentially devastating disease outbreaks.

US dumps farm produce in global markets
In clear violation of WTO agriculture rules, US is dumping five primary farm commodities in global markets. It is exporting corn, soyabean, wheat, rice and cotton at prices far below their production cost in an effort to wipe out global competition.
The US is exporting wheat at prices 40 per cent lower than production costs. In the case of soyabean, the price difference has been increasing steadily over the last four years and is currently at 30 per cent while for maize it is 25-30 per cent. In 2001, cotton was being sold in the international markets at 57 per cent lower than its production cost, while the price difference for rice has stabilised at 20 per cent. As a result of these prices, the US is the world’s largest exporter of wheat, corn, cotton and soyabean, and the second largest in rice.
Needless to say the effects are serious. The structural price depression caused by the agricultural dumping affects developing countries whose farmers grow the same products. First, below-cost imports drive developing country farmers out of their local markets. This is happening around the world - in Jamaica, Burkina Faso and the Philippines. Second, farmers who sell their products to exporters find their global market share undermined by low-cost competition.

India spurns genetically modified food aid
Not too many people were surprised when India, which is staggering under a 48-million-tonne foodgrain surplus, rejected imports of 23,000 tonnes of corn and soya blend suspected to contain genetically modified corn. "The surprise really was that the proposals were made at all," said Devinder Sharma of the Forum for Biotechnology and Food Security, a group of leading voluntary agencies that has been resisting the importation of genetically modified food and calling for the rationalization of India's food distribution system. This consignment has been rejected by several countries on suspicion of being contaminated with genetically modified Star Link corn.

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