Opening credit
Achieving
the targets laid down in the budget is possible only if we start at
the roots and eradicate the problems that exist, says VS Vyas
Agriculture
needs a much larger amount of credit than what the formal credit institutions
are disbursing at the moment.
One of the major objectives of the Tenth Plan is to raise the rate
of growth in agricultural output to 4 per cent per annum, from a disappointing
rate of 2.4 per cent witnessed in the last decade. Even if the proportion
of credit to total agricultural output were to remain the same at
around 8-9 per cent, a substantially larger amount of credit would
be needed to raise additional production.
The changes in agriculture in India are also augmenting the need for
an increased flow of credit. In the first place, proportion of purchased
inputs in agriculture is increasing rapidly with corresponding increase
in the requirement of credit. Secondly, the share of high value crops
and high value enterprises in the agricultural sector is progressively
increasing. The latter besides being more input intensive also demand
higher investment in transport, storage and processing.
Estimates made for the Tenth Plan suggest that the credit need for
agriculture, in the country during the plan period would be over Rs
7,36,000 crore. Available data suggests that the rural financial institutions
(RFIs) have disbursed approximately Rs 70,000 crore of credit or approximately,
84 per cent of the projected flow of Rs 82,000 crores, during the
last year.
Obviously, there is a big gap between the credit needs for agricultural
production as estimated by the planners and the amount disbursed by
the RFIs. The question here is that why has this need for credit not
converted into effective demand, and why is the organised financial
sector not helping in bridging this gap.
A study conducted by the World Bank National Council of Applied
Economic Research indicates that, in Uttar Pradesh and Karnataka,
the share of formal credit institutions involved with rural credit
are quite insubstantial, even after efforts spanning over half a century.
Available data suggests that most of the credit from formal sources
is concentrated in a few regions, mainly in the southern, central
and western regions, and there too, in a few states. A map prepared
for the Advisory Committee on Flow of Credit to Agriculture, indicates
that the whole of the North-East, the tribal belt stretching from
Jharkhand to Andhra Pradesh and parts of Maharashtra as well as the
north-western part of Rajasthan are characterised by weak co-operative
and regional rural banks (RRBs), and inadequate coverage by commercial
banks. Also, there has not been any improvement in the credit-deposit
ratio of states like Bihar and Orissa. In fact, the proportion of
credit going to small borrowers in the agricultural sector is declining,
even though the definition ofsmall borrower account has
been changed since March 1999 from Rs 25,000 to Rs 2,00,000. Many
committees and studies have pointed out that procedural delays and
hurdles in applying for loans are as severe as in the past. Also,
the effective rate of interest that borrowers especially small
borrowers have to pay is substantially higher than the statutory
rate of interest. Without remedying these defects, the objective of
enhancing the flow of credit for augmenting agricultural production
cannot be fulfilled. In fact, it may lead to further distortions in
the distribution.
The intention behind the Finance Ministrys strategy is to put
pressure on the supply of credit in the hope that the increase in
supply will create its own demand. Keeping in view the past experience,
this would not be an effective proposition. There are certain basic
preconditions to ensuring success in meeting the targets of agricultural
credit in the coming years. They are: augmenting the absorptive capacity
of agricultural producers, strengthening delivery systems, mitigating
or minimising uncertainty, and providing insurance against risk in
agricultural production.
With the role of the state in providing infrastructure to agriculture
declining, the hope was that private investment would fill the gap.
Incidentally, this has not happened. The reason for private investment
not measuring up to the requirement is not fully acceptable. The principal
cause is the continuous deceleration in the rate of growth in investment
credit. During the last 30 years, the rate of increase in investment
credit has decelerated from 20 per cent (in the seventies) to 12 per
cent (in the nineties). And the sharpest fall has come in the rate
of increase in investment credit by commercial banks, the decadal
rate of growth declining from 30 per cent in the seventies to 12 per
cent in the nineties. If this is not corrected and banks are forced
to increase their credit to agriculture, the emphasis will be more
and more on short-term crop finance for viable farms.
Recent data on credit advanced by commercial banks reveals that this
trend has already seeped in.
Unfortunately, the other principal arm cooperative banks
are the least prepared for advancing investment credit. (See story
on pgs 28- 29) The main vehicle for disbursing medium to long-term
credit to agriculture, the Agricultural and Rural Development Co-operative
Societies, are the weakest part of the co-operative sector.
Focused attention needs to be given to the rehabilitation of these
banks and societies, in order to meet the objective of further advancing
investment credit.
Generating demand is one part of the study; equally important are
the strength and capabilities of the delivery system. RFIs are also
beset with serious problems. Co-operative banks, which account for
nearly half of crop loans and account for a much larger share in investment
credit, are in bad shape. Most District Central Co-operative Banks
are not able to meet their minimum banking requirements. The weakest
link in the chain is the primary co-operative societies. The causes
of the weaknesses of the co-operative structure are well known, but
so are the steps to remedy the defects.
The strategy here should be to reward those cooperatives which meet
the commonly agreed upon reforms, and to withdraw support from those
which are not prepared to change their organisation structure and
procedures.
RRBs were promoted as the third channel for rural credit,
along with co-operatives and commercial banks. These were designed
as lowcost banking institutions with a regional focus, serving small
farmers and rural artisans. Two of these three features have already
been eroded.
contd...
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